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The following article is from William R. Clark and based on his
hard-hitting book Petrodollar Warfare. For a complete
appreciation of this topic click here and watch this 45-MINUTE VIDEO DOCUMENTARY which proves that US dollar imperialism is behind our foreign policy to protect the Federal Reserve System.
Petrodollar Warfare & The Euro
"This notion that the United States is getting ready to attack Iran is
simply ridiculous...Having said that, all options are on the table."
-- President George W. Bush, February 2005
By William R. Clark, author of Petrodollar Warfare
08/08/05 "MM"
-- -- Contemporary warfare has traditionally involved underlying
conflicts regarding economics and resources. Today these intertwined
conflicts also involve international currencies, and thus increased
complexity. Current geopolitical tensions between the United States and
Iran extend beyond the publicly stated concerns regarding Iran's
nuclear intentions, and likely include a proposed Iranian "petroeuro"
system for oil trade. Similar to the Iraq war, military operations
against Iran relate to the macroeconomics of 'petrodollar recycling'
and the unpublicized but real challenge to U.S. dollar supremacy from
the euro as an alternative oil transaction currency.
It is now obvious the invasion of Iraq had less to do with any threat
from Saddam's long-gone WMD program and certainly less to do to do with
fighting International terrorism than it has to do with gaining
strategic control over Iraq's hydrocarbon reserves and in doing so
maintain the U.S. dollar as the monopoly currency for the critical
international oil market. Throughout 2004 information provided by
former administration insiders revealed the Bush/Cheney administration
entered into office with the intention of toppling Saddam.[1][2]
Candidly stated, 'Operation Iraqi Freedom' was a war designed to
install a pro-U.S. government in Iraq, establish multiple U.S military
bases before the onset of global Peak Oil, and to reconvert Iraq back
to petrodollars while hoping to thwart further OPEC momentum towards
the euro as an alternative oil transaction currency ( i.e.
"petroeuro").[3] However, subsequent geopolitical events have exposed
neoconservative strategy as fundamentally flawed, with Iran moving
towards a petroeuro system for international oil trades, while Russia
evaluates this option with the European Union.
In 2003 the global community witnessed a combination of petrodollar
warfare and oil depletion warfare. The majority of the world's
governments especially the E.U., Russia and China were not amused
and neither are the U.S. soldiers who are currently stationed inside a
hostile Iraq. In 2002 I wrote an award-winning online essay that
asserted Saddam Hussein sealed his fate when he announced on September
2000 that Iraq was no longer going to accept dollars for oil being sold
under the UN's Oil-for-Food program, and decided to switch to the euro
as Iraq's oil export currency.[4] Indeed, my original pre-war
hypothesis was validated in a Financial Times article dated June 5,
2003, which confirmed Iraqi oil sales returning to the international
markets were once again denominated in U.S. dollars not euros.
The tender, for which bids are due by June 10, switches the transaction
back to dollars -- the international currency of oil sales - despite
the greenback's recent fall in value. Saddam Hussein in 2000 insisted
Iraq's oil be sold for euros, a political move, but one that improved
Iraq's recent earnings thanks to the rise in the value of the euro
against the dollar. [5]
The Bush administration implemented this currency transition despite
the adverse impact on profits from Iraqi's export oil sales.[6] (In
mid-2003 the euro was valued approx. 13% higher than the dollar, and
thus significantly impacted the ability of future oil proceeds to
rebuild Iraq's infrastructure). Not surprisingly, this detail has never
been mentioned in the five U.S. major media conglomerates who control
90% of information flow in the U.S., but confirmation of this vital
fact provides insight into one of the crucial yet overlooked
rationales for 2003 the Iraq war.
Concerning Iran, recent articles have revealed active Pentagon planning
for operations against its suspected nuclear facilities. While the
publicly stated reasons for any such overt action will be premised as a
consequence of Iran's nuclear ambitions, there are again unspoken
macroeconomic drivers underlying the second stage of petrodollar
warfare Iran's upcoming oil bourse. (The word bourse refers to a
stock exchange for securities trading, and is derived from the French
stock exchange in Paris, the Federation Internationale des Bourses de
Valeurs.)
In essence, Iran is about to commit a far greater "offense" than Saddam
Hussein's conversion to the euro for Iraq's oil exports in the fall of
2000. Beginning in March 2006, the Tehran government has plans to begin
competing with New York's NYMEX and London's IPE with respect to
international oil trades using a euro-based international oil-trading
mechanism.[7] The proposed Iranian oil bourse signifies that without
some sort of US intervention, the euro is going to establish a firm
foothold in the international oil trade. Given U.S. debt levels and the
stated neoconservative project of U.S. global domination, Tehran's
objective constitutes an obvious encroachment on dollar supremacy in
the crucial international oil market.
From the autumn of 2004 through August 2005, numerous leaks by
concerned Pentagon employees have revealed that the neoconservatives in
Washington are quietly but actively planning for a possible attack
against Iran. In September 2004 Newsweek reported:
Deep in the Pentagon, admirals and generals are updating plans for
possible U.S. military action in Syria and Iran. The Defense Department
unit responsible for military planning for the two troublesome
countries is "busier than ever," an administration official says. Some
Bush advisers characterize the work as merely an effort to revise
routine plans the Pentagon maintains for all contingencies in light of
the Iraq war. More skittish bureaucrats say the updates are accompanied
by a revived campaign by administration conservatives and neocons for
more hard-line U.S. policies toward the countries
'
administration hawks are pinning their hopes on regime change in
Tehran by covert means, preferably, but by force of arms if
necessary. Papers on the idea have circulated inside the
administration, mostly labeled "draft" or "working draft" to evade
congressional subpoena powers and the Freedom of Information Act.
Informed sources say the memos echo the administration's abortive Iraq
strategy: oust the existing regime, swiftly install a pro-U.S.
government in its place (extracting the new regime's promise to
renounce any nuclear ambitions) and get out. This daredevil scheme
horrifies U.S. military leaders, and there's no evidence that it has
won any backers at the cabinet level. [8]
Indeed, there are good reasons for U.S. military commanders to be
'horrified' at the prospects of attacking Iran. In the December 2004
issue of the Atlantic Monthly, James Fallows reported that numerous
high-level war-gaming sessions had recently been completed by Sam
Gardiner, a retired Air Force colonel who has run war games at the
National War College for the past two decades.[9] Col. Gardiner
summarized the outcome of these war games with this statement, "After
all this effort, I am left with two simple sentences for policymakers:
You have no military solution for the issues of Iran. And you have to
make diplomacy work." Despite Col. Gardiner's warnings, yet another
story appeared in early 2005 that reiterated this administration's
intentions towards Iran. Investigative reporter Seymour Hersh's article
in The New Yorker included interviews with various high-level U.S.
intelligence sources. Hersh wrote:
In my interviews [with former high-level intelligence officials], I was
repeatedly told that the next strategic target was Iran. Everyone is
saying, 'You can't be serious about targeting Iran. Look at Iraq,' the
former [CIA] intelligence official told me. But the [Bush
administration officials] say, 'We've got some lessons learned not
militarily, but how we did it politically. We're not going to rely on
agency pissants.' No loose ends, and that's why the C.I.A. is out of
there. [10]
The most recent, and by far the most troubling, was an article in The
American Conservative by intelligence analyst Philip Giraldi. His
article, "In Case of Emergency, Nuke Iran," suggested the resurrection
of active U.S. military planning against Iran but with the shocking
disclosure that in the event of another 9/11-type terrorist attack on
U.S. soil, Vice President Dick Cheney's office wants the Pentagon to be
prepared to launch a potential tactical nuclear attack on Iran even
if the Iranian government was not involved with any such terrorist
attack against the U.S.:
The Pentagon, acting under instructions from Vice President Dick
Cheney's office, has tasked the United States Strategic Command
(STRATCOM) with drawing up a contingency plan to be employed in
response to another 9/11-type terrorist attack on the United States.
The plan includes a large-scale air assault on Iran employing both
conventional and tactical nuclear weapons. Within Iran there are more
than 450 major strategic targets, including numerous suspected
nuclear-weapons-program development sites. Many of the targets are
hardened or are deep underground and could not be taken out by
conventional weapons, hence the nuclear option. As in the case of Iraq,
the response is not conditional on Iran actually being involved in the
act of terrorism directed against the United States. Several senior Air
Force officers involved in the planning are reportedly appalled at the
implications of what they are doing that Iran is being set up for an
unprovoked nuclear attack but no one is prepared to damage his career
by posing any objections. [11]
Why would the Vice President instruct the U.S. military to prepare
plans for what could likely be an unprovoked nuclear attack against
Iran? Setting aside the grave moral implications for a moment, it is
remarkable to note that during the same week this "nuke Iran" article
appeared, the Washington Post reported that the most recent National
Intelligence Estimate (NIE) of Iran's nuclear program revealed that,
"Iran is about a decade away from manufacturing the key ingredient for
a nuclear weapon, roughly doubling the previous estimate of five
years."[12] This article carefully noted this assessment was a
"consensus among U.S. intelligence agencies, [and in] contrast with
forceful public statements by the White House." The question remains,
Why would the Vice President advocate a possible tactical nuclear
attack against Iran in the event of another major terrorist attack
against the U.S. even if Tehran was innocent of involvement?
Perhaps one of the answers relates to the same obfuscated reasons why
the U.S. launched an unprovoked invasion to topple the Iraq government
macroeconomics and the desperate desire to maintain U.S. economic
supremacy. In essence, petrodollar hegemony is eroding, which will
ultimately force the U.S. to significantly change its current tax,
debt, trade, and energy policies, all of which are severely unbalanced.
World oil production is reportedly "flat out," and yet the
neoconservatives are apparently willing to undertake huge strategic and
tactical risks in the Persian Gulf. Why? Quite simply their stated
goal is U.S. global domination at any cost.
To date, one of the more difficult technical obstacles concerning a
euro-based oil transaction trading system is the lack of a
euro-denominated oil pricing standard, or oil 'marker' as it is
referred to in the industry. The three current oil markers are U.S.
dollar denominated, which include the West Texas Intermediate crude
(WTI), Norway Brent crude, and the UAE Dubai crude. However, since the
summer of 2003 Iran has required payments in the euro currency for its
European and Asian/ACU exports although the oil pricing these trades
was still denominated in the dollar.[13]
Therefore a potentially significant news story was reported in June
2004 announcing Iran's intentions to create of an Iranian oil bourse.
This announcement portended competition would arise between the Iranian
oil bourse and London's International Petroleum Exchange (IPE), as well
as the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). [Both the IPE and NYMEX
are owned by U.S. consortium, and operated by an Atlanta-based
corporation, IntercontinentalExchange, Inc.]
The macroeconomic implications of a successful Iranian bourse are
noteworthy. Considering that in mid-2003 Iran switched its oil payments
from E.U. and ACU customers to the euro, and thus it is logical to
assume the proposed Iranian bourse will usher in a fourth crude oil
marker denominated in the euro currency. This event would remove the
main technical obstacle for a broad-based petroeuro system for
international oil trades. From a purely economic and monetary
perspective, a petroeuro system is a logical development given that the
European Union imports more oil from OPEC producers than does the U.S.,
and the E.U. accounted for 45% of exports sold to the Middle East.
(Following the May 2004 enlargement, this percentage likely increased).
Despite the complete absence of coverage from the five U.S. corporate
media conglomerates, these foreign news stories suggest one of the
Federal Reserve's nightmares may begin to unfold in the spring of 2006,
when it appears that international buyers will have a choice of buying
a barrel of oil for $60 dollars on the NYMEX and IPE - or purchase a
barrel of oil for 45 - 50 euros via the Iranian Bourse. This assumes
the euro maintains its current 20-25% appreciated value relative to the
dollar and assumes that some sort of US "intervention" is not
launched against Iran. The upcoming bourse will introduce petrodollar
versus petroeuro currency hedging, and fundamentally new dynamics to
the biggest market in the world - global oil and gas trades. In
essence, the U.S. will no longer be able to effortlessly expand credit
via U.S. Treasury bills, and the dollar's demand/liquidity value will
fall.
It is unclear at the time of writing if this project will be
successful, or could it prompt overt or covert U.S. interventions
thereby signaling the second phase of petrodollar warfare in the Middle
East. Regardless of the potential U.S. response to an Iranian petroeuro
system, the emergence of an oil exchange market in the Middle East is
not entirely surprising given the domestic peaking and decline of oil
exports in the U.S. and U.K, in comparison to the remaining oil
reserves in Iran, Iraq and Saudi Arabia. What we are witnessing is a
battle for oil currency supremacy. If Iran's oil bourse becomes a
successful alternative for international oil trades, it would challenge
the hegemony currently enjoyed by the financial centers in both London
(IPE) and New York (NYMEX), a factor not overlooked in the following
(UK) Guardian article:
Iran is to launch an oil trading market for Middle East and Opec
producers that could threaten the supremacy of London's International
Petroleum Exchange.
Some industry experts have warned the Iranians and other OPEC
producers that western exchanges are controlled by big financial and
oil corporations, which have a vested interest in market volatility.
[emphasis added]
The IPE, bought in 2001 by a consortium that includes BP, Goldman Sachs
and Morgan Stanley, was unwilling to discuss the Iranian move
yesterday. "We would not have any comment to make on it at this stage,"
said an IPE spokeswoman. [14]
During an important speech in April 2002, Mr. Javad Yarjani, an OPEC
executive, described three pivotal events that would facilitate an OPEC
transition to euros.[15] He stated this would be based on (1) if and
when Norway's Brent crude is re-dominated in euros, (2) if and when the
U.K. adopts the euro, and (3) whether or not the euro gains parity
valuation relative to the dollar, and the EU's proposed expansion plans
were successful. Notably, both of the later two criteria have
transpired: the euro's valuation has been above the dollar since late
2002, and the euro-based E.U. enlarged in May 2004 from 12 to 22
countries. Despite recent "no" votes by French and Dutch voters
regarding a common E.U. Constitution, from a macroeconomic perspective,
these domestic disagreements do no reduce the euro currency's
trajectory in the global financial markets and from Russia and OPEC's
perspective do not adversely impact momentum towards a petroeuro. In
the meantime, the U.K. remains uncomfortably juxtaposed between the
financial interests of the U.S. banking nexus (New York/Washington) and
the E.U. financial centers (Paris/Frankfurt).
The most recent news reports indicate the oil bourse will start trading
on March 20, 2006, coinciding with the Iranian New Year.[16] The
implementation of the proposed Iranian oil Bourse if successful in
utilizing the euro as its oil transaction currency standard
essentially negates the previous two criteria as described by Mr.
Yarjani regarding the solidification of a petroeuro system for
international oil trades. It should also be noted that throughout
2003-2004 both Russia and China significantly increased their central
bank holdings of the euro, which appears to be a coordinated move to
facilitate the anticipated ascendance of the euro as a second World
Reserve Currency. [17] [18] China's announcement in July 2005 that is
was re-valuing the yuan/RNB was not nearly as important as its decision
to divorce itself form a U.S. dollar peg by moving towards a "basket of
currencies" likely to include the yen, euro, and dollar.[19]
Additionally, the Chinese re-valuation immediately lowered their
monthly imported "oil bill" by 2%, given that oil trades are still
priced in dollars, but it is unclear how much longer this monopoly
arrangement will last.
Furthermore, the geopolitical stakes for the Bush administration were
raised dramatically on October 28, 2004, when Iran and China signed a
huge oil and gas trade agreement (valued between $70 - $100 billion
dollars.) [20] It should also be noted that China currently receives
13% of its oil imports from Iran. In the aftermath of the Iraq
invasion, the U.S.-administered Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA)
nullified previous oil lease contracts from 1997-2002 that France,
Russia, China and other nations had established under the Saddam
regime. The nullification of these contracts worth a reported $1.1
trillion created political tensions between the U.S and the European
Union, Russia and China. The Chinese government may fear the same fate
awaits their oil investments in Iran if the U.S. were able to attack
and topple the Tehran government. Despite U.S. desires to enforce
petrodollar hegemony, the geopolitical risks of an attack on Iran's
nuclear facilities would surely create a serious crisis between
Washington and Beijing.
It is increasingly clear that a confrontation and possible war with
Iran may transpire during the second Bush term. Clearly, there are
numerous tactical risks regarding neoconservative strategy towards
Iran. First, unlike Iraq, Iran has a robust military capability.
Secondly, a repeat of any "Shock and Awe" tactics is not advisable
given that Iran has installed sophisticated anti-ship missiles on the
Island of Abu Musa, and therefore controls the critical Strait of
Hormuz where all of the Persian Gulf bound oil tankers must pass.[22]
The immediate question for Americans? Will the neoconservatives attempt
to intervene covertly and/or overtly in Iran during 2005 or 2006 in a
desperate effort to prevent the initiation of euro-denominated
international crude oil sales? Commentators in India are quite correct
in their assessment that a U.S. intervention in Iran is likely to prove
disastrous for the United States, making matters much worse regarding
international terrorism, not to the mention potential effects on the
U.S. economy.
If it [ U.S.] intervenes again, it is absolutely certain it will not
be able to improve the situation
There is a better way, as the
constructive engagement of Libya's Colonel Muammar Gaddafi has
shown...Iran is obviously a more complex case than Libya, because power
resides in the clergy, and Iran has not been entirely transparent about
its nuclear programme, but the sensible way is to take it gently, and
nudge it to moderation. Regime change will only worsen global Islamist
terror, and in any case, Saudi Arabia is a fitter case for democratic
intervention, if at all. [21]
A successful Iranian bourse will solidify the petroeuro as an
alternative oil transaction currency, and thereby end the petrodollar's
hegemonic status as the monopoly oil currency. Therefore, a graduated
approach is needed to avoid precipitous U.S. economic dislocations.
Multilateral compromise with the EU and OPEC regarding oil currency is
certainly preferable to an 'Operation Iranian Freedom,' or perhaps
another CIA-backed coup such as operation "Ajax" from 1953. Despite the
impressive power of the U.S. military, and the ability of our
intelligence agencies to facilitate 'interventions,' it would be
perilous and possibly ruinous for the U.S. to intervene in Iran given
the dire situation in Iraq. The Monterey Institute of International
Studies warned of the possible consequences of a preemptive attack on
Iran's nuclear facilities:
An attack on Iranian nuclear facilities
could have various adverse
effects on U.S. interests in the Middle East and the world. Most
important, in the absence of evidence of an Iranian illegal nuclear
program, an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities by the U.S. or Israel
would be likely to strengthen Iran's international stature and reduce
the threat of international sanctions against Iran. [23]
Synopsis:
It is not yet clear if a U.S. military expedition will occur in a
desperate attempt to maintain petrodollar supremacy. Regardless of the
recent National Intelligence Estimate that down-played Iran's potential
nuclear weapons program, it appears increasingly likely the Bush
administration may use the specter of nuclear weapon proliferation as a
pretext for an intervention, similar to the fears invoked in the
previous WMD campaign regarding Iraq. If recent stories are correct
regarding Cheney's plan to possibly use a another 9/11 terrorist attack
as the pretext or casus belli for a U.S. aerial attack against Iran,
this would confirm the Bush administration is prepared to undertake a
desperate military strategy to thwart Iran's nuclear ambitions, while
simultaneously attempting to prevent the Iranian oil Bourse from
initiating a euro-based system for oil trades.
However, as members of the U.N. Security Council; China, Russia and
E.U. nations such as France and Germany would likely veto any
U.S.-sponsored U.N. Security Resolution calling the use of force
without solid proof of Iranian culpability in a major terrorist attack.
A unilateral U.S. military strike on Iran would isolate the U.S.
government in the eyes of the world community, and it is conceivable
that such an overt action could provoke other industrialized nations to
strategically abandon the dollar en masse. Indeed, such an event would
create pressure for OPEC or Russia to move towards a petroeuro system
in an effort to cripple the U.S. economy and its global military
presence. I refer to this in my book as the "rogue nation hypothesis."
While central bankers throughout the world community would be extremely
reluctant to 'dump the dollar,' the reasons for any such drastic
reaction are likely straightforward from their perspective the global
community is dependent on the oil and gas energy supplies found in the
Persian Gulf. Hence, industrialized nations would likely move in tandem
on the currency exchange markets in an effort to thwart the
neoconservatives from pursuing their desperate strategy of dominating
the world's largest hydrocarbon energy supply. Any such efforts that
resulted in a dollar currency crisis would be undertaken not to
cripple the U.S. dollar and economy as punishment towards the American
people per se but rather to thwart further unilateral warfare and its
potentially destructive effects on the critical oil production and
shipping infrastructure in the Persian Gulf. Barring a U.S. attack, it
appears imminent that Iran's euro-denominated oil bourse will open in
March 2006. Logically, the most appropriate U.S. strategy is compromise
with the E.U. and OPEC towards a dual-currency system for international
oil trades.
Of
all the enemies to public liberty war is, perhaps, the most to be
dreaded because it comprises and develops the germ of every other. War
is the parent of armies; from these proceed debts and taxes...known
instruments for bringing the many under the domination of the few
No
nation could preserve its freedom in the midst of continual warfare.
-- James Madison, Political Observations, 1795
Footnotes:
[1]. Ron Suskind, The Price of Loyalty: George W. Bush, the White
House, and the Education of Paul O' Neill, Simon & Schuster
publishers (2004)
[2]. Richard A. Clarke, Against All Enemies: Inside America's War on Terror, Free Press (2004)
[3]. William Clark, "Revisited - The Real Reasons for the Upcoming War
with Iraq: A Macroeconomic and Geostrategic Analysis of the Unspoken
Truth," January 2003 (updated January 2004)
http://www.ratical.org/ratville/CAH/RRiraqWar.html
[4]. Peter Philips, Censored 2004, The Top 25 Censored News Stories,
Seven Stories Press, (2003) General website for Project Censored:
http://www.projectcensored.org/
Story #19: U.S. Dollar vs. the Euro: Another Reason for the Invasion of Iraq
http://www.projectcensored.org/publications/2004/19.html
[5]. Carol Hoyos and Kevin Morrison, "Iraq returns to the international oil market," Financial Times, June 5, 2003
[6]. Faisal Islam, "Iraq nets handsome profit by dumping dollar for euro," [UK] Guardian, February 16, 2003
http://observer.guardian.co.uk/iraq/story/0,12239,896344,00.html
[7]. "Oil bourse closer to reality," IranMania.com, December 28, 2004.
Also see: "Iran oil bourse wins authorization," Tehran Times, July 26,
2005
[8]. "War-Gaming the Mullahs: The U.S. weighs the price of a
pre-emptive strike," Newsweek, September 27 issue, 2004.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6039135/site/newsweek/
[9]. James Fallows, 'Will Iran be Next?,' Atlantic Monthly, December 2004, pgs. 97 110
[10]. Seymour Hersh, "The Coming Wars," The New Yorker, January 24th 31st issue, 2005, pgs. 40-47
Posted online January 17, 2005. Online: http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?050124fa_fact
[11]. Philip Giraldi, "In Case of Emergency, Nuke Iran," American Conservative, August 1, 2005
[12]. Dafina Linzer, "Iran Is Judged 10 Years From Nuclear Bomb U.S.
Intelligence Review Contrasts With Administration Statements,"
Washington Post, August 2, 2005; Page A01
[13]. C. Shivkumar, "Iran offers oil to Asian union on easier terms," The Hindu Business Line (June 16, ` 2003).
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/bline/2003/06/17/stories/
2003061702380500.htm
[14]. Terry Macalister, "Iran takes on west's control of oil trading," The [UK] Guardian, June 16, 2004
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/story/0,3604,1239644,00.html
[15]. "The Choice of Currency for the Denomination of the Oil Bill,"
Speech given by Javad Yarjani, Head of OPEC's Petroleum Market Analysis
Dept, on The International Role of the Euro (Invited by the Spanish
Minister of Economic Affairs during Spain's Presidency of the EU)
(April 14, 2002, Oviedo, Spain)
http://www.opec.org/NewsInfo/Speeches/sp2002/spAraqueSpainApr14.htm
[16]. "Iran's oil bourse expects to start by early 2006," Reuters, October 5, 2004 http://www.iranoilgas.com
[17]. "Russia shifts to euro as foreign currency reserves soar," AFP, June 9, 2003
http://www.cdi.org/russia/johnson/7214-3.cfm
[18]. "China to diversify foreign exchange reserves," China Business Weekly, May 8, 2004
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/english/doc/2004-05/08/content_328744.htm
[19]. Richard S. Appel, "The Repercussions from the Yuan's Revaluation," kitco.com, July 27, 2005
http://www.kitco.com/ind/appel/jul272005.html
[20]. China, Iran sign biggest oil & gas deal,' China Daily,
October 31, 2004. Online: Online:
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/english/doc/2004-10/31/content_387140.htm
[21]. "Terror & regime change: Any US invasion of Iran will have
terrible consequences," News Insight: Public Affairs Magazine, June 11,
2004
http://www.indiareacts.com/archivedebates/nat2.asp?recno=908&ctg=World
[22]. Analysis of Abu Musa Island, www.globalsecurity.org
http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/iran/abu-musa.htm
[23]. Sammy Salama and Karen Ruster, "A Preemptive Attack on Iran's
Nuclear Facilities: Possible Consequences," Monterry Institute of
International Studies, August 12, 2004 (updated September 9, 2004) http://cns.miis.edu/pubs/week/040812.htm
by courtesy & © 2005 William R. Clark
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